4 results for "Science"

Worst-case scenarios

Sunstein, Cass R.
Nuclear bombs in suitcases, anthrax bacilli in ventilators, tsunamis and meteors, avian flu, scorchingly hot temperatures: nightmares that were once the plot of Hollywood movies are now frighteningly real possibilities. How can we steer a path between willful inaction and reckless overreaction? Cass Sunstein explores these and other worst-case scenarios and how we might best prevent them in this vivid, illuminating, and highly original analysis. Singling out the problems of terrorism and climate change, Sunstein explores our susceptibility to two opposite and unhelpful reactions: panic and utter neglect. He shows how private individuals and public officials might best respond to low-probability risks of disaster—emphasizing the need to know what we will lose from precautions as well as from inaction. Finally, he offers an understanding of the uses and limits of cost–benefit analysis, especially when current generations are imposing risks on future generations. Throughout, Sunstein uses climate change as a defining case, because it dramatically illustrates the underlying principles. But he also discusses terrorism, depletion of the ozone layer, genetic modification of food, hurricanes, and worst-case scenarios faced in our ordinary lives. Sunstein concludes that if we can avoid the twin dangers of overreaction and apathy, we will be able to ameliorate if not avoid future catastrophes, retaining our sanity as well as scarce resources that can be devoted to more constructive ends.
Harvard University Press 2009-05-15 340 pages

Public policymaking reexamined

Dror, Yehezkel
Public Policymaking Reexamined is now recognized as a fundamental treatise for public policy studies. Although it caused much controversy when it was first published for its systematic approach to policy studies, the book is acknowledged as a modern classic of continuing importance for the teaching and research of public policy, planning and policy analysis, and public administration. The paperback includes a new introduction updating and supplementing many of the author's original ideas. Professor Dror combines the approaches of policy analysis, behavioral science, and systems analysis in his examination of the reality of public policymaking and his suggestions for its reform. Actual policymaking is carefully evaluated with the help of explicit criteria and standards based on an optimal model approach, resulting in detailed proposals for improvement. He applies a scientific orientation to the study of social facts and theory.
Transaction Books 1983 370 pages

Public policy in a new key

Etzioni, Amitai
Public Policy in a New Key brings together important contributions by a major social analyst on some of the most crucial policy questions of our time. Amitai Etzioni brings to these issues not only a lifetime's study of sociology and its sister social sciences but a critical commitment to societal change firmly rooted in democratic values and the ethics of social responsibility. Although these writings, half of which appear here for the first time, range widely over the spectrum of domestic and foreign policy questions, they are linked by a broadly conceived vision of sociological method that acts as a universal key to many social issues. Etzioni defines his approach to policy analysis as a macrosociology that deals with society in terms of its large-scale constituting units and their combinations. His method is flexible and superbly attuned to the dynamics of change that underlie the contexts of each issue treated here.^
Transaction Publishers 1993 150 pages